Crying wolf in climate change

Climate Progress had an interesting post last week asking why climate deniers always shout down any link between extreme weather and climate change.

I have a better question: what's the danger in having climate change activists link every weather phenomenon to climate change? 

Climate is not equal to weather (for the distinction, click here), but when we blame a given weather event or even a season of them on climate change, we make fools of ourselves the next time the weather reverts to the norm.

Climate change is a long-range phenomenon, seen over decades, and we trivialize it by associating it with weather.

Yes/no weather report

If it's accurate, it's a nice way to plan for your commute: Umbrella Today?

Global warming can stop hurricanes?

In the spirit of respecting the science around global warming, here's a forthcoming scientific study that suggests that global warming may actually reduce hurricane activity in the Atlantic. The study reports that due to a predicted increase in wind shear, hurricane activity in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific may actually decrease as temperatures rise. However, the study noted that global warming may decrease wind shear in the Western Pacfic (in addition to warming the ocean), creating a hotspot for greater tropical cyclones there.

Oh that science, always so nuanced...

How accurate is that forecast?

A longstanding question finally answered by the Omninerd! Tracking 10 online weather sources for two months, the Omninerd tells you which weather service is most likely to get your forecast right. Tables 6 and 7 are probably the most useful.